马来西亚从加入CPTPP到“一带一路”的内在逻辑

The Inherent Logic of Malaysia from CPTPP to BRI

近几年的东南亚经济正在发生波动,域内五个重要国家在2018年的国内生产总值增幅仅为4.8%,三年来首次环比下降。2018年5月马来西亚大选以来,政府已经持续表达了对《全面与进步的跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(CPTPP)的关切,并呼吁就该协议可能对马产生的影响进行审议。马哈蒂尔政府参与地区经济的可能动向受其个人行动方式的影响,承接其20世纪任期内的激进风格,其参与CPTPP、RCEP及中国"一带一路"等国际机制时带有谨慎态度,外交策略上现实主义色彩浓重。

In the past two years,the economy of Southeast Asia is fluctuating.The GDP growth of the five major countries in the region is only 4.8%in 2018,the first annual decline in three years.Since the election in May 2018,the new government has expressed its concern about CPTPP and called for consideration of the possible impact of the agreement on Malaysia.The possible trend of Mahathir's new government's participation in the regional economy is influenced by its own way of action.It takes the radical style of its last term of office.It has a cautious attitude to participate in the international mechanism such as CPTPP and China's"belt and road initiative",and has a strong realism in diplomatic strategy.