“新常态”下内蒙古产业结构转型升级效果测度研究

Research on the Measurement and the Effect of Transformation and Upgrading of Industrial Structure in Inner Mongolia agaisnt the Background of the New Normal

在经济“新常态”和供给侧结构性改革的双重背景下,内蒙古自治区面临着加快产业转型升级,全面提高发展质量和效益的重大机遇。通过分析内蒙古三次产业与内蒙古三次产业综合技术效率和全要素生产率增长率的比例关系,充分揭示了内蒙古三次产业转型升级的“数量”和“质量”效应。结果表明:目前,内蒙古已接近发达经济体工业化成熟期的先进水平,产业结构转型升级的“数量”效应较好;相对于第一产业和第二产业,内蒙古第三产业整体转型升级效果不高,其发展还有待进一步完善。此外,兴安盟和阿拉善三大产业效率较低,转型升级效果较差。“呼包鄂”地区经济效益较好,产业结构转型升级效果较好;内蒙古三大产业全要素生产率大幅提高,技术进步对提高全要素生产率的总体效应明显大于技术效率的变化,即转型升级内蒙古产业结构取得了明显成效,其动力更多地取决于技术进步。

Against the dual backgrounds of the new normal of the economy and supply-side structural reform,the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is faced with a major opportunity to accelerate industrial transformation and upgrading and comprehensively improve the quality and efficiency of economic growth.By analyzing the proportional relationship between the tertiary industries and their comprehensive technical efficiency and the growth rate of total factor productivity in Inner Mongolia,the quantitative and qualitative effects of the transformation and upgrading of those industries were revealed.The results show that:At present,Inner Mongolia's industrial level is close to the advanced level of the mature industrialized period of advanced economies,and its quantitative effect of industrial structure transformation and upgrading is better;Compared with the primary industries and secondary industries,the overall effect of the transformation and upgrading of Inner Mongolia's tertiary industries is unconspicuous,and therefore the development of those industries needs to be further improved.In addition,the three major industries of Hinggan League and Alxa are less efficient in making progress,and the transformation and upgrading effect is poor.The economic benefits of Hohhot,Baotou and Ordos are considerable,and their industrial structure transformation and upgrading effect is better;The total factor productivity of the three major industries in Inner Mongolia is greatly boosted,and the overall effect of technological progress on promoting total factor productivity is obviously greater than the change of technical efficiency.That is,remarkable results have been achieved in the transformation and upgrading of Inner Mongolia's industrial structure,with its driving force depending more on technological progress.