新旧动能转换背景下的制造业产业升级评价研究——基于山东省制造业的研究

Evaluation of Manufacturing Industry Upgrading under the Background of New and Old Energy Transformation:Taking Shandong Province as an Example

现阶段我国经济发展进入新常态。经济发展模式开始由要素驱动、投资驱动向创新驱动转变,用增长促发展,用发展促增长。新旧动能转换与产业升级是经济发展进入新常态的必然选择,新旧动能转换是产业转型升级的核心动力,产业升级是新旧动能转换的外在表现。基于2006—2017年山东省17个地市的面板数据,从需求、供给和环境三方面研究发现:山东省及其各区域正处于改造旧动能、培育新动能的关键时期,消费需求、人力资本和技术创新对产业升级有积极的推动作用。进一步对山东省的东、中、西部三个区域研究发现,产业升级具有区域差异性。

China’s economic development has entered a new normal recently.The model of economic development began to shift from factors driven and investments driven to innovation driven,with promote development to growth.The transformation of new and old kinetic energy and industrial upgrading is the inevitable choice for economic development to enter the new normal.The transformation of new and old kinetic energy is the core power of industrial transformation and upgrading,and industrial upgrading is the external manifestation of the transformation of new and old kinetic energy.Based on the panel data of 17 cities in Shandong Province from 2006 to 2017,this paper explores through three aspects:demand,supply and environment.It is found that Shandong Province and its regions are in the critical period of transforming old kinetic energy and cultivating new kinetic energy.Consumption demand,human capital and technological innovation play a positive role in promoting the transformation of new and old kinetic energy.Further study on the East,the middle and the west of Shandong Province shows that there are regional differences between the transformation of traditional kinetic energy and the cultivation of new kinetic energy.