防空导弹系统拦截低小慢无人机集群效能分析

Effectiveness Analysis of Air Defense Missile System Intercepting LSS-UAV Swarm

无人机集群攻击作为一种新的作战样式,已经在战场发挥越来越重要的作用,对传统防空武器系统造成了巨大的威胁。文中应用排队论建立了防空导弹武器系统攻击毁伤模型,结合无人机低小慢目标特性,引入了以传统概率论为基础的防空导弹武器系统的搜索探测模型,对毁伤模型加以修正。最后通过算例分析,比较了防空导弹武器系统对传统空袭武器与无人机集群的拦截概率,得出影响因素,并给出相应建议。

As a new pattern of operations UAV swarm attraction has been playing an increasingly important role in the battle field and causing a great threat to the traditional air defense weapon system.With the queueing theory this paper set up the model of air defense weapon system attack damage.Combining the LLS target trait of UAV this paper introduces the air defense weapon sys tem search model to correct the attack model based on the traditional probability theory.In the end,this paper compares the inter cepting probability of air defense weapon system to the traditional air attack weapon and UAV swarm through the example analysis,draws the conclusion about the influential factors and gives some suggestions.