制造业服务化对国际贸易影响的实证分析——基于OECD经济体的研究

An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Manufacturing Servitization on International Trade——Research Based on OECD Economies

制造业的服务化将对世界主要经济体实体产业国际贸易规模产生影响。通过投入产出数据,计算各国不同技术水平制造部门的服务化水平,并以此分析其对各国各行业进出口额的影响,结果表明,服务化在多数情况下并不利于一国外贸活动的开展,这可能与服务化增加了产品成本有关,但在高收入国或是高端技术产业,服务化还是会对外贸活动起到积极促进作用。因此,为高端制造业配套高精尖研发设计服务业,并对落后的制造业产能进行淘汰或更新改造,应当成为未来一段时期内世界经济体发展的普遍选择。

This article reports a study made of the impact of the servitization of manufacturing industries on the changes in the international trade of manufacturing entity industries as well as the international market competitiveness for the world major economies.An analysis is therein made of the impact of the servitization level on the import export volume of different trades in different countries,based on the index constructed of the servitization levels in different manufacturing industries with different technological levels in those countries by studying their input output data.The results show that in most cases,the servitization is not beneficial to the international trade of a certain country,which is probably due to the increase in product cost of services.In high income countries or high technology industries,however,servitization can play a more positive role.Therefore,it should be a long term choice for the economies around the world to provide high level elaborate top R&D and design services for their high end manufacturing industries as well as to eliminate or upgrade their backward production capacities.