本世纪以来的西方经济增长理论

The Development of Western Economic Growth Theory since the 21st Century

中国经济正处于动能转换的关键时期,需要来自增长理论研究的支持。21世纪以来,经济增长理论的研究取得了显著进步。本文旨在评述增长理论的最新发展,进一步梳理理论脉络和主流观点,为学术研究和经济实践提供参考。本文认为,经济增长理论已逐渐形成制度决定理论、结构转变理论和人口过渡理论三大主流观点。同时,本文指出了增长理论存在的不足。在总结现有文献贡献与不足的基础上,对未来研究方向进行了展望。

China's economy is at a critical period of power conversion and needs support from growth theory research.Since the 21st century,the research on economic growth theory has made remarkable progress.The purpose of this article is to review the latest developments in growth theory,to further sort out the theoretical context and mainstream views,and to provide a reference for academic research and economic practice.This article believes that the economic growth theory has gradually formed the three mainstream views of the institution determination theory,the structure transformation theory and the population transition theory.At the same time,the article points out the shortcomings of the growth theory.Based on the summary of the contributions and deficiencies of the existing literature,the future research directions are prospected.