基于结构方程模型的智库能力研究

Research on Capability of Think Tanks Based on Structural Equation Model

[目的/意义]我国政府面临着国际变化和国内改革的双重考验,迫切需要智库提升其出思想、促决策的能力。对智库能力的影响因素进行分析,为中国智库发展提供参考。[方法/过程]文章通过文献梳理,基于相关理论基础和智库研究流程,从研判选题能力、信息收集能力、思想生产能力和传播转化能力4个维度构建智库能力体系。再采用结构方程模型,验证了中国智库能力的影响因子。[结果/结论]研究结果表明,智库的研判选题能力、信息收集能力、思想生产能力和传播转化能力对智库能力具有明显的正向影响力,且4个能力维度的各个观测变量均能达到较高的解释度。

[Purpose/significance]The Chinese government is faced with the dual tests of international changes and domestic reforms,so it is urgent for Think Tanks to improve their abilities to publish thoughts and promote decision-making.The influence factors of Think Tanks capacity are analyzed to provide reference for the development of Chinese Think Tanks.[Method/process]Through literature review,relevant theories and Think Tank research process,this paper constructs the Think Tank capability system from four dimensions of the ability to study and judge topics,the ability to collect information,the ability to produce ideas and the ability to disseminate and transform ideas.The influence factors of Chinese Think Tanks capacity are verified through structural equation model.[Result/conclusion]The research results show that the ability to study and judge topics,the ability to collect information,the ability to produce ideas and the ability to disseminate and transform ideas have obvious positive influences,and each observation variable of the four dimensions can achieve higher degree.