2020年世界经济发展及其关键问题

World Economic Development and Key Issues in 2020

2020年世界经济发展,不仅面临各种经济因素的影响,而且受到国际政治变局和突发性全球公共卫生事件的冲击,有利因素和不利因素兼具,困难和挑战增多。中国和美国依然是全球经济增长的主要动力源,双边第一阶段经贸协议达成有利于世界经济稳定发展。但面对新冠肺炎疫情的负面冲击,世界经济下行压力较大。由于各主要经济体的政策支撑,世界经济2020年陷入衰退可能性较小,仍能保持微弱增长。2020年世界经济发展更加需要各主要经济体增强宏观政策协调,避免经济陷入困难甚至衰退当中。

In 2020,the world economic development will not only face the influence of various economic factors,but also the impact of international political changes and sudden global public health events;favorable and unfavorable factors coexist,with increasing difficulties and challenges.China and the US are still the main driving force for global economic growth.The conclusion of the first phase of bilateral economic and trade agreement is conducive to the steady development of the world economy However;due to the adverse impact of the novel coronavirus pandemic,the world economy is facing downward pressure.With the policy support of major economies,there is little possibility that world economy will fall into recession in 2020,anditcan still maintain a slight growth.In 2020,for world economic development,all major economies need to strengthen macro policy coordination,so as to prevent the economy from sinking in difficulties or even recession.