中国在世界贸易网络中的地位:演进与展望

China’s Position in the World Trade Network:Evolution and Prospect

本文利用社会网络分析法来分析新中国成立以来中国在世界贸易网络中地位的发展变化。新中国成立初期,我国各项网络地位衡量指标在世界各国中的排名都相对落后,1962年我国点出度为48位,点入度为73位,出强度为24位,入强度为33位,核心度为68位。经过曲折发展(1949-1978年)、高速发展(1979-2001年)和高水平发展(2002-2018年)三个阶段,到2018年我国除了入强度排名第二以外,其他各项指标都是排名第一。中国已经从世界贸易网络中的边缘国家成长为核心国家,这充分反映了我国在对外贸易领域取得的巨大成就。随着我国经济迈入高质量发展的新阶段,我国在世界贸易网络中的核心地位也将得到进一步的加强。

This paper uses the social network analysis to analyze the development of China’s position in the world trade network since the founding of the PRC.In the early days after the founding of the PRC,China’s network position indicators ranked relatively backward in the world.In 1962,China’s degree-out ranked 48,degree-in 73,strength-out 24,strength-in 33,and coreness 68.After the three stages of large fluctuations during 1949-1978,rapid development during 1979-2001 and high-level development during 2002-2018,all China’s indicators ranked first except the strength-in indicator,which ranked second in 2018.China has grown from a periphery country to a core country in the world trade network,which fully reflects China’s tremendous achievements in foreign trade.As China’s economy enters a new stage of high-quality development,China’s core position in the world trade network will be further strengthened.