基于Logit模型的武汉地铁物流系统货物运输组织

Freight Transportation Organization of Wuhan Metro Logistics System Based on Logit Model

从政策、技术、运量、车辆等角度分析了利用地铁进行货物运输的可行性和必要性,确定了地铁物流的定位为城市货运,主要参与城市配送、冷链物流和快递物流。并以武汉为背景,结合既有地铁线网和运营模式,对武汉市地铁物流的市场需求和运输组织进行了深入的分析。结果表明2030年武汉市地铁物流总货运量需求将达到1189.8万t。预计武汉地铁可承载1140万t货运需求。地铁物流不仅可以满足城市货运的需求,而且将缓解武汉市38%的城市交通拥堵。

This paper analyzes the feasibility and necessity of using the metro system for cargo transportation from the perspectives of policy,technology,transportation volume,and vehicles,etc.,and determines the positioning of the metro logistics as urban freight,mainly involved in urban distribution,cold chain logistics and express logistics.Then,with Wuhan as the background,and in light of its existing metro line network and operation mode,we analyzed in-depth the market demand and transportation organization of the metro logistics in Wuhan.The result showed that in 2030,the total freight volume of the metro logistics in Wuhan would reach 11.898 million tons.By estimation,Wuhan Metro system could sustain 11.4 million tons of freight demand.Metro logistics can not only meet the needs of urban freight transportation,but also relieve the urban traffic congestion in Wuhan by 38%.