新冠疫情对中美经贸关系的影响与应对措施

The Impact and Countermeasures of the Novel Coronavirus Epidemic on Sino-US Economic and Trade Relations

当前,新冠疫情已经演化为"全球性大流行病",对全球经济的威胁和冲击性影响已经变为现实问题。全球新冠疫情的蔓延和升级,很有可能对既有的全球价值链分工和贸易体系造成重要的冲击性影响,迫使地区性生产贸易网络体系发生被动式调整。全球新冠疫情在短期内会对中美经贸关系造成重大影响,从中长期来看,中美之间经贸关系取决于双方战略竞争格局和博弈结果。当前中国新冠疫情已经到了基本可控的阶段,进入刺激国内需求全面恢复的状态,必须充分利用刺激内需政策谋求中国经济在全球主要经济体中率先走出危机的这个先发优势,将之作为应对美国针对中国经济发起的战略竞争和遏制战略的重要手段。

At present, the novel coronavirus epidemic has evolved into a "global pandemic", and the threat and impact on the global economy has become a real problem. What’s more, the global novel coronavirus epidemic will have a significant impact on the economic and trade relations between China and the United States in the short term. However,in the medium and long term, the economic and trade relations between China and the United States are more dependent on the future strategic competition pattern and game results of both sides. Different from China’s initiative to take all kinds of mandatory measures to comprehensively control and snipe the novel coronavirus epidemic, the current control situation of the United States against the novel coronavirus epidemic is confused. At least for the moment, the United States has adopted a strategy almost like laissez faire. What’s behind this is the deep-seated fear that the U.S. authorities are extremely worried about the huge negative impact of the novel coronavirus epidemic on their own economy, and that the U.S. will enter the state of economic crisis and weaken the weakening effect of all-round strategic game with China in economy, science and technology, finance, national system and geopolitics. At present,China’s novel coronavirus epidemic has reached a basically controllable stage, entering a state of stimulating the overall recovery of domestic demand, and entering a critical period of promoting the full resumption of production. We must make full use of the domestic demand stimulating policy to seek the first advantage of China’s economy in the world’s major economies out of the crisis, as a response to the strategic competition launched by the United States against China’s economy and an important means of containment strategy.