交通资源禀赋优势对粤港澳大湾区产业链的协整影响分析——基于2012、2017年广东省域投入产出表的面板数据

采用广东省2012、2017年投入产出表数据的均值,运用区域投入产出模型分析粤港澳大湾区各地道路、铁路、水运、航空、城市公共交通等六种运输方式及区域产业关联度,并结合比较优势算法计算各城市各产业的区位熵及优势产业,探讨各地交通运输结构与产业格局的均衡性。结果显示:穗深港以航空、航运中心地位形成产业链高端产业的显著影响力,东莞等5市基于交通枢纽中心的辐射而形成制造业为主的产业分工布局,江门等3市基于交通次层圈的辐射而形成劳动密集型产业的分工布局,在此基础上,提出了优化大湾区各地产业链协整关系的对策建议。

Based on the mean of the input-output table data of Guangdong Province in 2012 and 2017,this paper uses the regional input-output model to analyze the six transportation modes and the regional industrial correlation degree of roads,railways,water transportation,aviation and urban public transportation in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.And Combined with the comparative advantage algorithm,the location entropy of each industry and the dominant industries in each city are calculated,and the balance of transportation structure and industrial pattern in each region is discussed.The results show that Guangzhou,Shenzhen and Hong Kong have significant influence on the formation of high-end industries in the industrial chain with the status of aviation and shipping center,5 cities such as Dongguan have formed the industrial division layout based on the radiation of transportation hub center,and 3 cities such as Jiangmen have formed the division layout of labor-intensive industries based on the radiation of transportation sub circle,so as to optimize the industrial chain co-integration relationship in the Greater Bay Area.