“历史周期率对话”文本之辨析

An Analysis on the Text of"Dialogue on Historical Cycle Rate"

“历史周期率对话”的完整文本具有丰富而复杂的内容,而且多处引用或化用古语,需要认真辨析。“周期率”与“历史周期率”是普遍与特殊的关系。“周期率”与“周期律”两种表述均可讲通,但应该遵循“尊重原典”的原则称为“周期率”。“其兴也浡焉”与“其兴也悖焉”和“其兴也勃焉”意思一致,但渊源不同,引用时应该区别对待。“政怠宦成”“人亡政息”和“求荣取辱”各有其文本渊源和具体涵义。“历史周期率”的要义是从“其兴也浡焉”到“其亡也忽焉”的退化性变化,“超越历史周期率”或“跳出历史周期率”的要义是实现政权长期执政和社会长治久安。

The complete text of"dialogue on Historical Cycle Rate"has rich and complex contents,and many ancient sayings are quoted or used,which need to be distinguished and analyzed seriously.The essence of"Historical Cycle Rate"is the degenerative change from the rise to the fall of the regime,and the key meaning of"surpass the Historical Cycle Rate"or"jump out of the Historical Cycle Rate"is to achieve the longterm governance of the regime and lasting social stability.