35岁到54岁年龄段人口医养结合式机构养老参与意愿及其影响因素分析

Willingness of People Aged 35 to 54 to Participate in the Institutional Pension Combined with Medical Care and Its Influencing Factors

人口老龄化不断加剧,比预期的“三阶段”更为严重,老年人失能化问题日益严峻。35岁到54岁年龄段人口将在“加速老龄化”期间不断进入老龄阶段,他们的父母目前已经处在老龄阶段且正逐步迈向高龄阶段,其养老方式选择很大程度上受子女影响。通过对影响35岁到54岁年龄段人口对父母及自己参与医养结合式机构养老意愿的因素进行数据分析,发现性别、受教育程度、职业等客观变量和选择变量、拒绝变量等主观变量对是否选择医养结合式机构养老有显著影响。代际选择之间显著相关但影响因素有差异,该群体是否同意父母参与医养结合式机构养老更多受客观变量影响,自己未来是否参与则更多受主观变量影响。在此分析基础上提出转变35-54岁群体对医养结合式养老机构选择意愿的一些政策建议。

The ageing of population is intensifying and becoming more serious than the anticipated“three-stage”.The population group aged 35 to 54 will continue to enter the ageing stage during the“accelerated ageing”period.Their parents,whose choice of elderly care methods is considerably influenced by their children,are now in the ageing stage and are gradually moving towards their advanced ages.Through frequency analysis,correlation analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis of factors affecting the willingness of the group themselves and their parents to participate in nursing institutions with combined elderly care service and medical care service,the research found that objective variables such as gender,education level,occupation and some choosing and refusing subjective variables have a significant impact on participation willingness.There is a significant correlation between the intergenerational choices,but the respective influencing factors are different.Whether the group agrees that their parents participate in the nursing institutions with combined elderly care service and medical care service is more affected by objective variables,while whether they themselves participate in the future is more affected by subjective variables.Based on this analysis,some policy recommendations for improving the willingness of people aged 35 to 54 to choose nursing institutions with combined elderly care service and medical care service are proposed.