新一轮宅改后农户宅基地流转意愿影响因素分析--基于云南省大理市试点农户调查数据实证检验

The Influencing Factors of Farmers’ Homestead Transfer Intentionafter a New Round of Housing Reform: Empirical Test Basedon the Survey Data of Pilot Farmers in Dali of Yunnan

文章基于宅基地改革大理市试点内17个行政村的251个农户调查数据,对新一轮宅改后农民的宅基地流转意愿进行分析,并对样本进行统计描述,运用Logistic回归模型,采用基于极大似然估计的逐步筛选策略进行选择,对影响农户宅基地流转意愿的因素进行回归估计。分析结果表明:农民受教育水平、农户家庭年收入、农民宅基地流转经历和对宅基地能否自由买卖的赞同度,对宅基地流转意愿有显著影响。基于分析结论,建议完善相关法律和政策规章,放宽宅基地流转门槛,创造流转空间;扩大改革范围,盘活闲置宅基地使更多农民享受改革红利;建立规范、完整的宅基地流转市场,保障农民流转权益。

Based on the survey data of 251 farmers in 17 administrative villages in Dali pilot area of homestead reform,this paper analyzes the farmers’homestead transfer intention after the new round of homestead reform,describes the samples statistically,uses logistic regression model,adopts the step-by-step selection strategy based on maximum likelihood estimation,and makes regression analysis on the factors affecting the farmers’homestead transfer intention.The results show that the education level of farmers,the annual income of farmers,the transfer experience of farmers’homestead and the approval degree of whether the homestead can be sold freely have a significant impact on their willingness to transfer homestead.Based on the analysis conclusion,it is suggested to perfect relevant laws,policies and regulations,relax the threshold of homestead transfer,create transfer space,expand the scope of reform,activate idle homestead,so that more farmers can enjoy the reform dividend,establish a standardized and complete homestead transfer market,and protect the rights and interests of farmers.