2019年财政收支形势分析与2020年展望

Analysis of China’s Fiscal Revenue and Expenditure Situation in2019 and Prospects for 2020

2019年,面对风险挑战明显增多的国内外形势,我国积极的财政政策加力增效,稳健货币政策松紧适度,就业优先政策全面发力,经济运行在预期目标之内,财政收支实现预算目标。2020年,为了实现全面建成小康社会的战略目标,必须统筹推进好稳增长、促改革、调结构、惠民生、防风险的各项工作,积极财政政策应该在继续落实、落细减税降费政策的同时,适当提高赤字率,较大幅度扩大地方政府专项债规模。进一步调整优化财政支出结构,加大对地方,特别是困难地区财政保障力度,大力支持推动制造业和现代服务业高质量发展。

In 2019,in the face of domestic and international situations where the risk challenge has increased significantly,China's active fiscal policy has increased its effectiveness,the monetary policy has been moderately adjusted,and the employment priority policy has been fully developed.It has effectively responded to Sino-US economic and trade frictions and ensured economic growth.With the expected goals,fiscal revenues and expenditures achieve budget targets.In 2020,external challenges and internal contradictions are intertwined.In order to achieve the strategic goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way,we must coordinate and promote the work of stabilizing growth,promoting reform and restructuring,benefiting people’s livelihood,preventing risks,properly coping with China-US trade,and emphasize“six stable”in a more prominent position.In 2020,in order to achieve the strategic goal of building a well-off society in an allround way,the active fiscal policy should increase the counter-cyclical adjustment efforts.While continuing to implement the policy of reducing tax reductions,the deficit rate should be appropriately increased,and the local government special debts should be expanded.Further adjust and optimize the structure of fiscal expenditures,and increase financial protection for local,especially difficult areas.Deepening supply-side structural reforms and promote high-quality development in manufacturing and modem service industries.