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2019年欧美经济运行现状和未来走势分析

Analysis of the Current Situations and Outlook of Economies in Euro Zone and US in 2019
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摘要 进入2019年以来,欧元区经济增速下滑,部分国家已经开始出现经济总量绝对水平的下降。受欧洲经济增速下降过快和贸易摩擦等因素的影响,美国居民消费和投资等都受到不同程度的影响,消费者与企业对未来经济持谨慎态度,消费和投资都不容乐观,欧美经济乃至全球经济面临降速风险。本文分别从美国与欧元区的经济增长、物价波动、就业形势以及制造业等发展现状进行分析,并对欧美经济未来走势进行预测,最后分析了欧美经济给我国带来的影响,并提出相应对策。 Since the beginning of 2019,the economic growth rate of the euro zone has declined,and in some countries,the absolute level of economic aggregate has started to decline.Influenced by factors such as the excessively fast decline of European economic growth rate and trade friction,American household consumption and investment are all affected to different degrees.Consumers and enterprises are cautious about the future economy,and consumption and investment are not optimistic.Therefore,the European and American economies and the global economy are faced with the risk of slowing down.This paper analyzes the economic growth,price fluctuation,employment situation and manufacturing development in the United States and the euro zone,and predicts the future trend of the European and American economies.Finally,it analyzes the impact of the European and American economies on China and puts forward corresponding countermeasures.
作者 王金明 郭子鑫 Wang Jinming;Guo Zixin(Business School of Jilin University,Changchun,130012;School of Finance,Jilin University of Finance and Economics,Changchun 130117)
出处 《科技促进发展》 CSCD 2019年第11期1269-1273,共5页 Science & Technology for Development
基金 国家社科基金重大项目(15ZDA011):新常态下我国宏观经济监测和预测研究,首席专家:陈磊 国家自然科学基金项目(71573105):中国经济周期波动的转折点识别、阶段转换及预警研究,负责人:王金明。
关键词 欧美经济 经济增长 通货膨胀 European and US economies economic growth inflation
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