温州工业经济运行分析与展望(2019-2020年)

Analysis and Prospect of Wenzhou’s Industrial Economy(2019-2020)

2019年温州工业经济运行总体态势可概括为"稳中有缓"。全年运行呈现:需求偏软拖累生产退坡;主动去库存加快;效益同步收入走弱;销售利润下行;投资增速触"顶"。展望2020年,平稳运行格局不变;产出波动幅度将收窄;新动能政策保育初步见效;利润增速中枢下移;投资同比态势持平。总之,当前工业经济偏软态势只是经济运行的周期性阶段,未来结构性增长机会将逐渐呈现。建议稳住生产和投资,挖掘增量对冲生产增长减速和投资增长走弱势头,重点关注于产能汰换迭代和产业跨界升级,坚持高质量发展,继续落实制造业中小企业结构性宽松和减税减负托底提振政策,实施激发微观主体投资投放加速政策,增强穿越周期能力。

The general situation of Wenzhou’s industrial economy in 2019 can be summarized as"stability with proper slowdown".Specifically speaking,the sluggish demand dragged production reduction;active destocking sped up;benefit synchronization revenue weakened;the selling profit declined;the growth rate of investments touched the ceiling.Looking ahead to 2020,the steady operation pattern will remain unchanged;output fluctuation range will narrow;new kinetic energy policy cultivation will start to take effect;profit growth center will shift down;year-onyear investment situation will be hold the line with the year 2019.In brief,the sluggish industrial economy is just in the periodic stage of economic operation,and the structural growth opportunity will gradually appear in the future.It is suggested to stabilize production and investment,explore incremental hedging of production growth deceleration and investment growth weakening momentum,focus on capacity iteration and industrial cross-field upgrading,stick to highquality development,continue to implement structural relaxation,tax reduction and burden alleviation policy for small and medium enterprises in the manufacturing industry,carry out the policy to accelerate investments of microcosmic bodies,and enhance the ability to pass through the period.