金融发展对中国碳排放的直接影响与动态空间溢出效应研究

Direct Influence and Dynamic Spatial Spillover Effects of Financial Development on Carbon Emissions in China

在考虑碳排放惯性特征的基础上,检验中国省际人均碳排放的空间自相关性,利用动态空间面板模型实证研究金融发展对人均碳排放的直接影响和动态空间溢出效应。结果发现:一是中国省际人均碳排放的空间集聚性有下降趋势;二是中国人均碳排放不仅存在显著的非跨地区的动态惯性效应和跨地区的传染效应,还具备显著的示范效应;三是本地区金融发展能显著抑制本地区的人均碳排放,但在长期传导下促进了邻接地区的人均碳排放。

Based on the inertial characteristics of carbon emissions,the spatial auto correlation of per capita carbon emissions between provinces in China was tested.Te direct impact and dynamic spatial spillover effect of financial development on per capita carbon emissions were studied by using dynamic spatial panel model.The conclusion is shown as follows:the spatial agglomeration of per capita carbon emissions in China has a downward trend;China s per capita carbon emissions not only have significant non-cross-regional dynamic inertia effect and cross-regional transmission effect,but also have a significant demonstration effect;The financial development of this region can significantly inhibit the per capita carbon emissions in the region,but promote the per capita carbon emissions in adjacent regions under the long-term transmission.