农民工务农意愿研究:基于代际差异视角

A study of migrant workers'willingness to farming from the perspective of intergenerational differences

基于代际差异视角,借助2013—2015年1505份田野调查资料,运用基于聚类稳健标准误的Logit方法,考察了代际差异影响农民工务农意愿程度及其作用机制。结果表明:农民工务农意愿存在显著代际差异;与第一代农民工相比,新生代农民工更不愿意务农;家庭状况、家庭收入来源、务工状况、定居意愿、农业认知对第一代农民工务农意愿有显著影响,个人特征、相对收入、家庭收入来源、务工状况、定居意愿、农业认知对新生代农民工务农意愿有显著影响。研究结果还表明代际差异对于务农意愿既具有直接影响,又具有间接影响,其中家庭收入来源中的种植业和养殖业收入、外出打工收入与代际差异因素对农民工务农意愿存在显著的干扰性交互关系,而家庭人口、务工地点、务工月收入与代际差异因素对农民工务农意愿存在着增强性交互关系。

From the perspective of intergenerational differences,and based on 1505 field survey data from 2013 to 2015 and logit method of the cluster-robust standard errors,this paper examines the degree of intergenerational differences affecting on the willingness of farming for migrant workers and its mechanism.The results show that there are significant intergenerational differences in the migrant workers'willingness to farming.Compared with the first generation,the new generation of migrant workers are more reluctant to farm.Family status,sources of household income,employment status,settlement intention,and agricultural cognition have significant impact on the first generation.Personal characteristics,relative income,sources of household income employment status,settlement intention,and agricultural cognition have significant impact on the new generation.The results also show that intergenerational differences have both direct and indirect effects on the willingness to farming,the income from crop,aquaculture income,migrant workers'income and intergenerational differences have interfering interaction with the willingness to farming,but family population,labor location,monthly income and intergenerational differences have enhanced interaction with the willingness to farming.