基于克强指数的苏州地区工业发展建议

Suggestions on Industrial Development in Suzhou Based on“Keqiang Index”

本文以2014—2019年苏州的相关月度数据为基础进行建模,并运用ADF单位根检验、协整理论和Granger因果检验分析克强指数的三项指标与苏州市工业发展之间的长期因果关系。研究结果表明克强指数与苏州市工业发展之间存在长期协整关系,同时苏州市工业发展对工业用电量有很强的依赖性。本文旨在基于以上研究结果,为苏州市工业发展提供政策建议。

This article builds on the relevant monthly data of Suzhou from 2014 to 2019,and uses the ADF unit root test,cointegration theory and Granger causality test to analyze the long-term relationship between the three indicators of the Keqiang index and the industrial development of Suzhou.Causal relationship.The results of the study show that there is a long-term co-integration relationship between the Keqiang Index and the industrial development of Suzhou City.At the same time,the industrial development of Suzhou City has a strong dependence on industrial power consumption.This article aims to provide policy recommendations for the industrial development of Suzhou based on the above research results.