新冠疫情对欧洲的影响与中欧关系

The Impacts of COVID-19 on Europe and Sino-European Relations

新冠疫情对欧洲各国及欧盟治理体系和治理能力构成全方位挑战。欧洲"封城""封国""封盟",应对力度空前。疫情对欧洲的直接冲击非常显著,但欧洲对疫情的反应以及应对措施给欧洲带来的影响将更为深远。欧洲经济大幅衰退不可避免,这将埋下未来社会危机、政治危机甚至一体化危机的隐患,欧盟国际形象和国际地位将进一步受损。疫情后欧盟及欧洲一体化发展将面临重大抉择,疫情可能刺激各国加快一体化进程,但也可能导致"去一体化"进程加速发展,使欧盟再次面临倒退危险。综合看,一体化短期内难有重大突破,欧盟仍只能修修补补,以拖待变,但这种做法不可持续,并潜藏更大风险。后疫情时期,中欧关系面临新挑战,但也有新的合作机遇,中欧加强合作的必要性和紧迫性前所未有。

The COVID-19 has posed all-round challenges to the governance system and capacity of European countries and the European Union.Europe has made unprecedented efforts to"seal the city,""seal the country"and"seal the union."?The epidemic has exerted direct impacts on Europe;meanwhile,Europe’s responses and reactive measures to the epidemic will have far-reaching impacts on Europe.An economic recession in Europe is inevitable,which will pose potential risks of social,political and even integration crisis,and further damage the international image and status of the EU.After the epidemic,the development of the EU and European integration will be faced with major choices.The epidemic may drive member states to speed up the process of integration,but it may also lead to the acceleration of"de-integration,"resulting in another retrogression of the EU.The integration project could hardly make major breakthroughs in the near future.In the post-epidemic period,China-EU relations will face new challenges as well as opportunities.It is urgent for both to cooperate.