碳交易市场规模的绿色和经济增长效应研究

Researchon the Effects of Carbon Trading Market Size on Environment and Economic Growth

本文分别以全国31个省市以及正式启动碳交易市场试点的7个省市为研究对象,利用2009—2017年的面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型,实证研究了碳交易市场规模的绿色效应和经济增长效应。结果表明:扩大碳交易市场规模有利于改善环境质量,促进经济增长;相比于全国31个省市,扩大碳交易市场规模对试点省市具有较好的绿色效应和经济增长效应,而且,对碳交易市场规模较大省市的效应越大;碳交易市场规模实现环境质量改善的主要作用机制为技术改进,实现经济增长的主要作用机制为经济规模和技术改进。最后,提出了相关的政策建议。

Based on the panel data from 2009 to 2017,and using the two-way fixed effect model,this paper studies 31 provinces and cities in China and 7 provinces and cities that have launched the pilot carbon trading market,this paper empirically studies the green effect and economic growth effect of carbon trading market scale.The results show that expanding the scale of carbon trading market is beneficial to improving environmental quality and promoting economic growth.Compared with 31 provinces and cities in China,expanding the scale of carbon trading market has better green effect and economic growth effect on the pilot provinces and cities,the green effect and economic growth effect of the larger carbon trading markets is also larger.The main mechanism of carbon trading market scale to improve environmental quality is technological improvement,and the main mechanism of economic growth is economic scale and technological improvement.Finally,some policy suggestions are put forward.