信任、东道国政治环境与中国对外贸易出口

Trust,Political Environment of the Host Country and China’s Foreign Trade Export

基于拓展的贸易引力模型,在非正式制度和正式制度的统一视角下,探讨跨国信任水平与东道国政治环境之间的交互作用及其对中国出口贸易的影响。研究结果表明:(1)东道国的信任水平和政治稳定性都是影响中国出口贸易总额的重要因素;(2)信任水平对中国出口额的影响,受到东道国政治稳定性的调节;(3)东道国的正式制度与非正式制度之间存在一定的互补关系。

Based on the extended trade gravity model,this paper explores the interaction between the level of transnational trust and the political environment of the host country and its impact on China’s export trade under the unified perspective of informal institutions and formal institutions.The results show that:(1)the trust level and political stability of the host country are both important factors affecting China’s total export trade;(2)the influence of trust level on China’s export volume is regulated by the political stability of the host country;(3)there is a certain complementary relationship between the formal system and the informal system.