肇庆生态城市建设路径系统动力学仿真研究

Simulation Research on System Dynamics of Zhaoqing Eco-city Construction Path

本文以肇庆市为研究对象,以系统论的思想探讨肇庆生态城市系统结构及其构成要素,根据肇庆生态城市发展现状,采用系统动力学方法,构建肇庆生态城市系统动力学模型,并利用此模型对肇庆生态城市系统进行仿真,得到不同路径下主要变量及子系统的仿真结果,并根据仿真结果对不同路径进行分析,最后选取经济-环保和谐发展为肇庆生态城市建设最优路径.

Taking Zhaoqing City as the research object, the thought of system theory, Zhaoqing eco-city system structure and its constituent elements are discussed, according to the current situation of the development of Zhaoqing ecological city. The method of system dynamics is used and eco-city Zhaoqing system dynamics model is built for Zhaoqing ecological city system simulation. The main variables and the subsystem of the simulation results under different path,are obtained, according to the results of simulation analysis of different paths. Lastly, the harmonious development of eco-environmental protection is selected as the optimal path for Zhaoqing eco-city construction.