农机购置补贴对农户购机行为的影响

Influence of Agricultural Machinery Purchase Subsidies on Farmers'Purchase Behavior

以2006年和2018年山东省潍坊市中小农户农机购买调查数据为基础,利用Logit模型,分析了不同时段农机购置补贴额、农机购买决策者特征、家庭特征等对农户购买农机意愿的影响。结果表明,随着时间的推移,农户农机购买行为趋于理性化,农机购置补贴效率大幅降低,农村劳动力老龄化和劳动者文化水平也会影响农机购置补贴效果。农机购置补贴应以满足农户需求为出发点,增加补贴种类,合理确定补贴额度,加强农机使用培训。

Based on the survey data of agricultural machinery purchase of small and medium-sized farmers in Weifang,Shandong Province in 2006 and 2018,respectively,the influence of different periods of agricultural machinery purchase subsidies,characteristics of agricultural machinery purchase decision makers and family characteristics on farmers'purchase intention was calculated by using Logit model.The results showed that with the passage of time,the purchasing behavior of agricultural machinery tended to be rational,and the efficiency of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy was greatly reduced.Keeping other conditions unchanged,the purchase subsidy of agricultural machinery increased by 1%,the probability ratio of farmers'purchase was increased by 9.04%in 2006,and decreased to 2.27%in 2018;the income of farmers increased by 1%,the probability ratio of purchasing machines was increased by 0.46%in 2006,and decreased to 0.13%in 2018;the income of farmers'planting industry increased by 1%,the probability ratio of farmers'purchase was increased by 0.29%in 2006,and decreased to 0.08%in 2018;the cultivated land area of farmers increased by 1%,the probability ratio of purchasing machines was increased by 0.33%in 2006,and decreased to 0.02%in 2018.According to the calculation results,some policy suggestions were put forward,such as meeting the needs of farmers,improving the efficiency of subsidies,increasing the types of subsidies,and reasonably determining the amount of subsidies.