灰色关联分析下河源市经济增长影响因素研究

Research on the Factors Affecting Economic Growth of Heyuan City Based on Grey Correlation Analysis

依据2008-2018年河源市经济增长相关统计数据,分别对河源市三次产业增加值及12个行业的产值与河源市生产总值进行灰色关联分析。研究表明,第三产业与河源市生产总值的联系最为密切,对地区经济增长具有拉动作用,分行业来看,工业、农业、运输邮电业与生产总值的关联度较高。在实证分析基础上,进一步分析河源市产业结构与行业结构发展现状并提出促进河源市经济增长相应措施。

According to the statistical data of Heyuan City’s economic growth in 2008-2018,the gray correlation analysis was carried out on the added value of three industries in Heyuan City and the output value of 12 industries and Heyuan City’s GDP.Studies have shown that The tertiary industry is most closely linked to Heyuan’s GDP,Which has a pulling effect on regional economic growth.In terms of industries,the correlation between industry,agriculture,transportation,post and telecommunications and GDP is relatively high.On the basis of empirical analysis,it further analyzes the development status of industrial structure and industrial structure in Heyuan City and proposes corresponding measures to promote economic growth in Heyuan City.