“陆海新通道”建设下东盟国家制度环境与基础设施互联互通效率——基于超效率窗口DEA和空间面板模型

ASEAN Institutional Environment and Infrastructure Connectivity Efficiency under the Construction of“New Land-Sea Corridor”——a Study based on SE-Window-DEA Model and Spatial Panel Model

“陆海新通道”建设已正式上升为国家战略,这将大力促进中国与东盟各国之间基础设施的互联互通,而东盟各国现有基础设施互联互通的效率将直接影响中国未来能与之联通的绩效。基于东盟各国2008—2017年面板数据,运用SE-Window-DEA模型定量测度东盟各国交通、通信和能源基础设施互联互通效率的高低并进行区域、国别比较,进而运用空间面板模型考察各国多维度制度环境(包括政治稳定度、经济自由度、政府清廉度和法治公平度四个维度)差异对基础设施互联互通效率的影响。研究结果显示:东盟十国整体基础设施互联互通达到有效水平,由高到低排列依次为老挝、文莱、柬埔寨、缅甸、新加坡、菲律宾、马来西亚、泰国、越南和印度尼西亚,整体而言,5个陆地国家的平均水平略优于5个海洋国家。各国制度环境会显著影响东盟其基础设施互联互通效率,但影响的方向和力度不一,政治稳定和经济自由对东盟各国基础设施互联互通效率有积极影响,而政府清廉和法治公平却没能发挥出同样的积极作用。

The construction of"New Land-Sea Corridor"has officially become China's national strategy,which will vigorously promote the infrastructure interconnection between China and ASEAN countries,and the efficiency of the existing infrastructure interconnection among ASEAN countries will directly affect the performance of China's future connectivity with ASEAN.Based on the panel data of ASEAN countries from the year from 2008 to 2017,the SE-Window-DEA model is used to quantitatively measure the efficiency of infrastructure connectivity for ASEAN countries.Then the spatial panel model is adopted to examine the impact of institutional environment differences on infrastructure connectivity efficiency in ASEAN countries,including four dimensions:political stability,economic freedom,government corruption-control and rule of law fairness.It is concluded that the overall infrastructure connectivity of the ten ASEAN countries presents an effective status,ranking from high to low are Laos,Brunei,Cambodia,Myanmar,Singapore,Philippines,Malaysia,Thailand,Vietnam and Indonesia.The institutional environment of each country will significantly affect the efficiency of infrastructure connectivity in ASEAN countries,but the direction and intensity of the influences are different.Political stability and economic freedom have positive impact on the efficiency of infrastructure connectivity in ASEAN countries,while government corruption-control and rule of law fairness fail to play the same positive roles.