物有所值评估方法中的定量分析:一个文献综述

Quantitative Analysis of VfM Assessment Methodology:A Literature Review

为解决我国地方政府债务问题,财政部、国家发改委等多部门先后发布多项相关政策,推行政府与社会资本合作模式。物有所值评估方法(Value for Money,简称“VfM”)也随之推广。VfM评估方法包括定性分析和定量分析两种。本文所整理的文献主要围绕定量分析,从以下几个方面展开论述:第一,国际上通用的定量评价方法有哪些,如何进行选择;第二,结合国内外PSC体系的组成部分,探讨国内PSC体系存在的问题;第三,通过构建风险量化模型,进一步分析双主体之间的风险分担问题;第四,探讨我国定量分析体系的不足并得出结论。

In order to solve the local government debt problem,the Ministry of Finance,the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments have successively issued a number of related policies to promote the cooperation between the government and social capital.Thus,the Value for Money(VfM)method becomes popularized.VfM evaluation methodology includes qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.The literature compiled in this paper mainly focuses on quantitative analysis and discusses from the following aspects:Firstly,what are the commonly used international quantitative evaluation methods and how to choose them?Secondly,combined with the PSC system in both domestic and foreign,to discuss the issues of the PSC system in China;Thirdly,by constructing a risk quantification model,to further analyze the problem of risk sharing between the two entities;Fourthly,to discuss the deficiency and the solutions of the quantitative analysis methods in China.