湖南省2019冠状病毒病疫情流行情况

Epidemic features of coronavirus disease 2019 in Hunan Province

目的:通过对湖南省2020年1月21日至3月14日期间的2019冠状病毒病(coronavirus disease 2019,COVID-19)的流行情况进行总结和分析,了解湖南省各城市COVID-19疫情的流行情况。方法:从湖南省卫生健康委员会官方网站获取全湖南省各城市的COVID-19疫情数据,分析湖南省各城市疾病流行情况,并利用ArcGIS软件绘制湖南省各城市确诊患者数及发病率的空间分布地图,并将部分指标与全国情况进行对比。结果:湖南省1月21日出现首例确诊患者,于2月17日前后达到增长平台期。截至2020年3月14日,湖南省累计发病患者为1018例,累计发病率为0.48/10万,累计重症患者150例,累计死亡患者4例。湖南省COVID-19病死率(0.39%)显著低于全国(湖北省除外)平均病死率(0.90%),治愈率(99.6%)高于全国(湖北省除外)平均治愈率(96.2%)。确诊患者数排前3位的城市依次为长沙、岳阳和邵阳;发病率最高的前3位城市依次为长沙、岳阳和株洲。结论:湖南省COVID-19疫情进展相对平稳。各城市根据自身情况落实防控政策,基本将疫情稳定在可控范围内。

Objective:To explore and analyze the epidemic features of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)in Hunan Province from January 21,2020 to March 14,2020,as well as to investigate the COVID-19 epidemics in each city of Hunan Province.Methods:The epidemic data was obtained from the official website of Hunan Province’s Health Commission.The data of each city of Hunan Province was analyzed separately.Spatial distribution of cumulative confirmed COVID-19 patients and the cumulative occurrence rate was drawn by ArcGIS software for each city in Hunan Province.Some regional indexes were also compared with that in the whole country.Results:The first patient was diagnosed in January 21,sustained patient growth reached its plateau in around February 17.Up to March 14,the cumulative confirmed COVID-19 patients stopped at 1018.The cumulative occurrence rate of COVID-19 patients was 0.48 per 0.1 million person.The number of cumulative severe patients was 150 and the number of cumulative dead patients was 4.The mortality rate(0.39%)and the cure rate(99.6%)in Hunan Province was significantly lower and higher respectively than the corresponding average rate in the whole country(0.90%and 96.2%,Hubei excluded).The first 3 cities in numbers of the confirmed patients were Changsha,Yueyang,and Shaoyang.While sorted by the cumulative occurrence rate,the first 3 cities in incidence were Changsha,Yueyang,and Zhuzhou.Conclusion:The epidemic of COVID-19 spread out smoothly in Hunan Province.The cities in Hunan Province implement anti-disease strategies based on specific situations on their own and keep the epidemic in the range of controllable.