湖南省粮食零售价格指数的影响因素分析

Analysis on Influencing Factors of Grain Retail Price Index in Hunan

以湖南省粮食零售价格指数的影响因素为研究对象,运用相关系数、多元线性回归等方法,探讨影响湖南省粮食零售价格指数的主要因素。研究发现居民对粮食的消费价格指数、农业生产资料价格分类指数、工业生产者出厂价格指数、人均粮食产量4个主要因素对湖南省粮食零售价格指数的影响较大,其中居民对粮食的消费价格指数的影响程度最大,工业生产者出厂价格指数的影响程度次之,农业生产资料价格分类指数、人均粮食产量的影响程度最小且大体相当。提出从完善粮食价格预警机制、加强相关部门合作、稳定粮食生产和稳定粮食消费量等方面调控湖南省粮食零售价格指数。

This paper explores the main factors influencing the grain retail price index in Hunan by using correlation coefficient and multiple linear regressions.It is found that the four main factors of Hunan grain retail price index are consumer price index,price classification index of agricultural means of production,ex-factory price index of industrial producer and per capita grain yield.Among them,consumer price index has the greatest influence;producer price index of industrial producer comes second,and price classification index of agricultural production means and per capita grain yield are the least and the two are almost the same.Finally,some suggestions are presented to regulate Hunan grain retail price index according to the results of the study,which provides certain decision-making reference for the relevant departments.