基于DSSM模型的上海邮轮旅游产业部门演变特征研究

Research on evolution characteristics of Shanghai cruise tourism-related industry departments based on DSSM model

近年来,以上海为代表的亚太地区邮轮旅游市场需求激增,带动中国邮轮产业进入黄金时期。本文依据2007~2018年上海邮轮旅游产业部门发展数据,采用动态偏离-份额分析法(DSSM)对产业部门的结构和竞争力进行动态分析,并在此基础上,利用多部门经济模型分析上海邮轮旅游产业部门对区域旅游经济增长的贡献变动。基于对上海邮轮旅游产业部门集聚发展能力和竞争力优势的分析,提出了上海邮轮旅游产业进一步调整和优化的若干措施,为中国邮轮旅游产业经济的良性循环和持续发展提供参考。

In recent years,the market demand of cruise tourism in Asia-Pacific region,represented by Shanghai,has increased dramatically,which has brought China's cruise industry into the golden age.Based on the development data of cruise tourism-related industries in Shanghai from 2007 to 2018,this paper uses DSSM analysis to dynamically analyze the structure and competitiveness of related industries,and uses multi-sectoral economic model to analyze the changes of the contribution of cruise tourism-related industries in Shanghai to regional tourism economic growth.Based on the analysis of the agglomeration development ability and competitive advantage of the related industries of Shanghai cruise tourism,this paper puts forward some measures for further adjustment and optimization of Shanghai cruise tourism industry,which can provide reference for the benign cycle and sustainable development of China's cruise tourism industry economy.