摘要
从技术、资产、劳动力和产值结构高度化四维度综合测度2006~2017年我国30个省区装备制造业产业结构的升级程度并对升级进程进行空间相关性检验,结果表明省区间产业升级具有空间关联特征。构建考虑地理特征和经济技术特征的空间权重矩阵,采用动态空间杜宾模型验证技术协同创新及相关控制变量对装备制造业产业升级的本地直接效应与跨地区空间外溢效应。研究表明,产业升级具有内在惯性和自我扬弃特征,当期升级进程受本地及外地区前期升级水平的影响;创新驱动系统全面协同对本地产业升级的直接效应并没有预期大,应深入挖掘创新主体及要素间的协同效应,增强其助推力。装备制造企业知识应用能力对本地产业升级有积极作用,而因企业间竞争关系的存在致使其对外省区产业具有负向外溢效应。研究表明,因累积效应的存在导致协同创新驱动的长期效应要比短期效应更明显,故各地区要抛弃短视行为,树立产业长远战略思维。最后,各地区应基于地缘或经济特征相似性构建区域合作与联动机制,将产业内各行业在区域间合理布局以降低交易成本和区域经济冲突。
From the four dimensions of technology,assets,labor force,and output value structure upgrading,We comprehensively measure the equipment manufacturing industry structure upgrading in 30 provinces and autonomous regions during the period 2006-2017,and conduct spatial correlation tests on the industry upgrading process.The results show that the industrial upgrading of province-level regions has spatial correlation characteristics.The spatial weight matrix considering geographical feature and economic and technical characteristic is constructed, and the dynamic spatial Durbin model is used to verify the local direct effect and cross-regional spatial spillover effect of synergy innovation and related control variables on equipment manufacturing industry upgrading.The research shows that industrial upgrading has the characteristics of internal inertia and self-improvement,and the current upgrade process is influenced by the pre-upgrade degree of local and other regions.The direct effect of the innovation drive system overall synergy on the local industries upgrading is not expected to be large.It is necessary to dig deeper into the synergies among the innovation bodies and related elements, and increase its boost.The knowledge application and development capabilities of equipment manufacturing companies have positive local direct effect,but the existing enterprise competition model has caused negative spillover effect on industries in the other provinces and regions.Results show that because of the cumulative effect,the long-term effects driven by synergy innovation are more obvious than short-term effects, so all regions must abandon short-sighted behavior and establish long-term strategic thinking for the industry.Finally,all regions should build a regional cooperation and linkage mechanism based on geographic or economic similarities, and rationalize the industry distribution to reduce transaction costs and regional economic conflicts.
作者
单勤琴
SHAN Qin-qin(School of Economics and Management,Yiwu Vocational and Technical College of Industry and Commerce,Yiwu 322000,China)
出处
《系统工程》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第3期17-26,共10页
Systems Engineering
基金
浙江省教育厅项目(Y201636807)
义乌工商职业技术学院2020年度校级重点课题(ZD2020JG399-01)
义乌工商职业技术学院2019校级教育教学改革项目(2019jg25)。
关键词
创新驱动
装备制造业
动态空间杜宾模型
空间溢出效应
Innovation Drive
Equipment Manufacturing Industry
Dynamic Space Durbin Model
Spatial Spillover Effect