摘要
自由贸易试验区(简称自贸区)目前及未来发展水平何如,直接关系到区域经济发展与政策的可推广性。从经济、生态、科技三个维度,研究了自贸区发展水平现状,并构建自贸区发展水平评价指标体系,采用主客观权重结合的方法(熵值-AHP法)对四大自贸区发展水平进行初步评价。研究表明,四大自贸区发展水平逐年向好,其中上海发展最好,其次是天津,之后为广东,福建排名最后;运用改进的熵值-AHP法得到的权重,主客观权重互相矫正,更能体现评价的科学性、合理性;指标评价值排序与自贸区重视对外贸易、注重经济增长与税收、加大科技创新投入、实现环境友好型发展的目标相吻合,说明该指标体系的建立较为贴近实际。
The current and future development level of the Free Trade Pilot Zone(hereinafter referred to as the"Free Trade Zone")is directly related to the regional economic development and the scalability of policies.Therefore,focus on the three basic dimensions of economy,ecology and science&technology,study the status quo of the development level of the free trade zone.And build an evaluation index system for the development level of the free trade zone,at the same time,use the method of combining subjective and objective weights(entropy-AHP method)to make a preliminary evaluation of the development level of the four major free trade zones.The research conclusions show that the development level of the four Free Trade Zones has been improving year by year,and Shanghai has the best development,followed by Tianjin,followed by Guangdong,and Fujian ranked last.The weights obtained by using the improved entropy-AHP method,and the subjective and objective weights of each other Correction can better reflect the scientificity and rationality of the evaluation.The ranking of index evaluation values and the free trade zone attach importance to foreign trade,economic growth and taxation,increase investment in scientific and technological innovation,and achieve environmental friendliness The development goals are consistent,indicating that the establishment of this indicator system is more realistic.
作者
徐明强
董大海
常百舒
XU Ming-qiang;DONG Da-hai;CHANG Bai-shu(School of Economics and Management,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116086,China;School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics,Dalian 116025,China)
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第6期105-114,共10页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“卫星账户编制的理论、方法与中国实践”(19ZDA120)
国家社会科学基金一般项目“高质量发展目标下低碳转型程度测度与倒逼路径研究”(19BTJ054)
国家自然科学基金项目“移动互联时代平台企业的竞争行为及失灵规制研究”(71772113)
国家自然科学基金项目“带有辅助信息的混合模型的统计推断和应用”(11701071)。
关键词
自贸区
发展水平
评价指标体系
the Free Trade Zone
the level of development
evaluation system