从历史镜像中观察俄罗斯经济增长的现状与前景

On Status Quo and Prospects of Russian Economic Growth from Historical Mirror Image

从2008年起中断了新千年以来的持续增长后,俄罗斯经济陷入了低迷状态,在内外部各种制约因素的共同作用下,俄罗斯经济急需找到突破口。从历史上探源,经济转轨30年后苏联式的模式惯性依旧存在,结构性改革没有完成,仍然严重依赖能源产业。对此,俄罗斯希望将《俄罗斯政府2024年基本发展规划》作为一个突破点来引领其结构性改革,同时通过宪法改革从政治层面推动经济增长。如何在各影响因素中寻求平衡,找到未来经济的稳定发展之路,是摆在俄罗斯面前的一项重要历史任务。

After the interruption of sustained economic growth since the beginning of the new millennium since 2008,the Russian economy has been in a long-term downturn.Under the influence of various internal and external factors,the Russian economy urgently needs to find a breakthrough.Historically,the inertia of the"Soviet-style"model 30 years after the transition has not gone far,and structural reforms have not been completed,it still relies heavily on it Energy industry.In this regard,Russia hopes to use the Basic Development Plan of the Russian Government 2024 as a breakthrough point to lead the next structural reforms,while promoting economic growth from the political level through"constitutional reforms".It is an important historical task for Russia to strike a balance among the various influencing factors and find the road to stabilize economic development in the future.