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中国航空货运重心与经济重心的测度及关联关系

The Measurement and Correlation Between Air Cargo Center and Regional Economic Center in China
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摘要 随着经济全球化的深入发展,航空物流与区域经济的相互拉动效应越来越显著。为研究两者之间的关联关系,基于重心分析法,计算中国航空货运重心和经济重心的变化趋势,分析两者移动轨迹演变规律的相似性,从空间格局演变的角度论证航空物流与区域经济的相关关系。研究结果表明,中国航空货运重心的移动趋势与GDP、第二产业、第三产业重心的移动趋势均具有一定的相似性,其中航空货运重心与GDP重心的相关性系数最大。这证明当前中国航空货运的发展与区域经济的关系非常紧密,只有通过发展区域经济、尤其是生产高附加值产品的二、三产业,才能使航空货运得到持续稳定的发展,并最终实现航空物流与区域经济的良性互动及有效协调。 In recent years, with the in-depth development of economic globalization, the mutual pulling effect between aviation logistics and regional economy is more and more significant. In order to study the correlation between them, based on the center analysis method, it calculated the changing trend of the center and the economic center of air cargo in China, analyzed the similarity of the evolution rules of their moving trajectories, and demonstrated the correction between aviation logistics and regional economy from the perspective of the evolution of spatial pattern. The results show that the movement trend of the center of gravity of air cargo in China is similar with that of GDP, secondary industry and tertiary industry, among which the correlation coefficient between the center of gravity of air cargo and the center of gravity of GDP is the largest. This proves that the current development of Chinese air cargo is closely related to the regional economy, and that only through the development of the regional economy, especially the production of secondary and tertiary industries with high value-added products, can air cargo be sustained and stable. And finally achieve the good interaction and effective coordination between aviation logistics and regional economy.
作者 高安冬 丁丹 关金月 赵冰 GAO Andong;DING Dan;GUAN Jinyue;ZHAO Bing(School of Economics and Management,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)
出处 《综合运输》 2020年第5期25-30,共6页 China Transportation Review
基金 中国民航大学市级大学生创新创业项目(201910059086) 中国民航大学中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(3122017051)。
关键词 航空货运 区域经济 GDP 重心分析法 相关性分析 Air cargo Regional economy GDP Gravity analysis Correlation analysis
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