反恐怖工作成效的检验标准

Evaluating Standard of the Effectiveness of Counter-terrorism Work

检验反恐斗争成效的标准在很大程度上决定了反恐斗争的方向,但无论是在实践抑或理论层面,目前还没有普遍认可的标准。借鉴国外相关研究成果,梳理总结我国反恐斗争实践中所遵循的检验标准,尽管成果导向、目标导向、工作数量导向等具有其合理性,但仍有不可克服的缺陷。根据零和博弈理论,应将缩减恐怖组织和恐怖分子活动的能量作为检验反恐怖工作成效的标准,其中关键性的指标是恐怖组织和恐怖分子的存量、增量、活动频次、活动方式、影响范围、支持力度等。坚持底线思维、主动进攻、创新突破、依法反恐是缩减恐怖组织和恐怖分子活动能量的重要途径。运用此标准检验反恐怖工作,能够进一步明晰反恐怖工作的导向,提高反恐资源的使用效率,确保反恐怖工作取得更大的成效。

The criteria for evaluating the effectiveness of the fight against terrorism largely determine the directions of the fight against terrorism.However,either in practice or in theory,no generally accepted standard has been provided.Drawing on the relevant research results from abroad,combining and summarizing the inspection standards that are currently followed in the practice of China’s anti-terrorism struggles,it is found that although the results orientation,goal orientation,and quantity orientation have their own rationality,the current inspection standards in China still have insurmountable defects.According to the zero-sum game theory,the energy of terrorist organizations and terrorist activities should be reduced as a measure of the effectiveness of counter-terrorism efforts.The key indicators are the stocks,increments,frequency of activities,mode of activities,scope of influence,and levels of support for terrorist organizations and terrorists.To effectively reduce the energy of terrorist organizations and terrorist activities,it is vital to adhere to the bottom line principles,active attack,and innovation breakthroughs.Using this standard to evaluate the work of counter-terrorism can further clarify the orientation of counter-terrorism work,improve the efficiency of the use of counter-terrorism resources,and ensure greater effectiveness in counter-terrorism work.