Quantitative Traffic Safety Analysis for India by Japanese Experience

This paper describes traffic safety approach for developing countries through advanced country historical experience analysis.As for traffic safety analysis,Smeed’s Law is chosen in which number of fatal accidents is function of population and number of vehicles.These parameters in Smeed’s Law only affect growing fatal accidents number as each country because there is no parameter which reduces fatal accidents number in the equation.Author improves Smeed’s Law by adding infrastructure parameter i.e.traffic signal installation.There are also many parameters to be considered such as traffic regulation,education,traffic information equipment,etc.Author chooses traffic signal installation as a representative parameter in this research.By using Japanese historical records,author analyzes the traffic signal installation effectiveness as a fatality reduction parameter with“enhanced Smeed’s Law”.After defining traffic safety parameter by enhanced Smeed’s Law,author applies enhanced Smeed’s Law to Indian case.According to new analysis with enhanced Smeed’s Law,author shows that traffic signal installation is required for reduction of fatal accidents but it effects for reducing fatal accidents growing speed.For the reduction of Indian fatal accidents,it is able to explain that it is necessary to add some more traffic safety policy such as introducing more intelligent traffic signal control based on Japanese traffic safety policy which has been executed during Japanese history by the enhanced Smeed’s Law analysis.