第二阶段自贸协定对中国与巴基斯坦经贸合作的影响研究

Study on the Impact of the Second Phase of the FTA on Economic and Trade Cooperation between China and Pakistan

2019年,中国与巴基斯坦两国达成了自贸区第二阶段议定书。近年来,中、巴双边贸易发展迅速。中国对巴基斯坦贸易顺差不断扩大。中国对巴基斯坦出口工业制成品,从巴基斯坦进口初级产品,但巴基斯坦具有出口竞争优势的产品较少,两国各自具有比较优势的产品重合度小,双边贸易互补性强。本文总结并比较了中、巴双方两个阶段自贸协定的主要内容,提出第二阶段自贸协定将促进巴方对华出口,减少巴基斯坦对华贸易逆差,还将进一步促进中、巴双边贸易持续增长,有利于推动中方对巴基斯坦扩大投资和产能合作,促进中巴经济走廊建设。

In 2019,China and Pakistan reached a protocol for the second phase of the FTA.In recent years,bilateral trade between China and Pakistan has grown rapidly.China’s trade surplus with Pakistan is widening;China exports manufactured industrial products to Pakistan and imports primary products from the country.However,Pakistan has fewer products with competitive export advantages;there is little overlap between the products in which the two countries have comparative advantages and strong complementarity in bilateral trade.This paper summarizes and compares the main contents of the two phases of the China-Pakistan FTA,and proposes that the second phase will promote Palestinian exports to China and reduce the Palestinian trade deficit with China;further promote the sustained growth of bilateral trade,which will be conducive to promoting the expansion of investment and production capacity cooperation and the construction of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.