摘要
在阐述生态文明建设内涵的基础上,从资源利用、经济发展、国土空间布局、生态环境保护和社会进步5个方面选取30项指标,运用综合指数法开展深圳市生态文明建设评价,并借助灰色系统模型GM(1,1)预测其发展趋势。研究表明,深圳市生态文明建设成果逐步凸显,除国土空间布局对生态文明建设贡献呈下降趋势外,其余4个方面对其贡献均逐步提高;地方政府生态文明建设考核压力逐步趋缓。预测显示深圳市生态文明建设得分持续小幅度增加,生态文明建设得到持续加强。当前生态文明建设重点在于优化国土空间布局,需要加强耕地保护、调整土地利用结构和控制人口密度。
Based on the connotation of CEC and 30 indexes from 5 aspects of resource utilization,economic development,land layout,ecological environmental protection and social progress,the ecological civilization construction in Shenzhen was evaluated by comprehensive index method,and its development tendency was predicted by Grey Systems model GM(1,1).The results showed that Shenzhen gradually achieved in ecological civilization construction.Except for land layout whose contribution to ecological civilization construction declined,the contribution from the rest 4 aspects increased gradually.Local government felt relieved from the pressure of target assessment.Through prediction,the ecological civilization construction in Shenzhen scored increasing slightly.At present,the construction of ecological civilization focuses on optimizing land layout,strengthening cultivated land protection,adjusting land use structure and controlling population density.
作者
罗舒雯
熊建华
LUO Shu-wen;XIONG Jian-hua(School of Public Administration and Policy,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)
出处
《环境监测管理与技术》
CSCD
2020年第3期39-43,共5页
The Administration and Technique of Environmental Monitoring
基金
中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目(18XNH017)。
关键词
生态文明建设
目标考核
综合评价
预测
深圳
Ecological civilization construction
Target assessment
Comprehensive evaluation
Prediction
Shenzhen