摘要
2019年,我国物价水平整体保持稳定,处于可控区间内,居民消费价格指数和工业生产者出厂价格指数背离趋势明显。居民消费价格指数呈现结构性上涨趋势,工业生产者出厂价格指数持续回落。就居民消费价格指数而言,以鲜果蔬和猪肉为代表的食品价格是推动居民消费价格指数涨幅超过预期目标的主要原因,核心居民消费价格指数呈现小幅下降趋势。就工业生产者出厂价格指数而言,石油等大宗商品价格涨幅的下降是抑制工业生产者出厂价格指数上升的主要原因。2020年,我国物价水平可能继续保持稳定或略有上升,居民消费价格指数和工业生产者出厂价格指数背离趋势将得到改善。为做好疫情防控,保持2020年物价总水平稳定以及推动经济高质量发展,建议实施更加积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策,加强对生产和流通指标监测和预警等。
In 2019,the overall price level remains stable and in a controllable range.The CPI has obviously deviated from the PPI.The CPI showed a structural upward trend,and the PPI continued falling.As far as the CPI is concerned,food prices represented by fresh fruits and vegetables and pork are the main reasons for the increase in the CPI,which exceed expected targets,and the core CPI has shown a slight downward trend.As far as the PPI is concerned,the decline in the increase in the prices of commodities such as petroleum is the main reason for restraining the rise in the PPI.In 2020,China's price level may continue to remain stable or rise slightly,and the deviation of the consumer price index and the producer price index of industrial producers will be changed.In order to control epidemic properly and maintain a stable overall price level under promoting high-quality economic development in 2020,it is recommended to implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy,and strengthen the monitoring and early warning of production indicators of key commodities.
出处
《价格理论与实践》
北大核心
2020年第1期11-17,共7页
Price:Theory & Practice
基金
中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目成果(20XNH025)。
