中国遭遇服务贸易壁垒评估研究——基于关税等值的测度

A Research on the Evaluation of China's Encounter Barriers to Trade in Services——Measurement Based on Tariff Equivalence

近年来,全球贸易形势恶化,贸易保护主义抬头,测度中国遭受服务贸易壁垒的程度对中国把握国际服务贸易形势、制定服务贸易政策具有重要的现实意义。本文通过运用扩展的引力模型及调整的服务贸易壁垒关税等值计算公式,衡量了中国受到的世界各国的服务贸易壁垒程度,得出如下结论:首先,就金砖国家而言,中国遭遇的服务贸易壁垒平均水平低于俄罗斯、南非、印度、巴西,无明显的变化趋势;其次,中国遭遇发达国家的服务贸易壁垒程度变化趋势波动不大,且服务贸易壁垒主要来自于日本、美国、英国、意大利、韩国等服务贸易大国;最后,中国遭遇发展中国家的服务贸易壁垒程度有明显的上升趋势,服务贸易壁垒主要来自于波兰、墨西哥、印度、印度尼西亚、巴西、俄罗斯等经济发展水平较高的发展中国家。

In recent years,with the deterioration of global trade situation and the rise of trade protectionism,it is of great practical significance for China to grasp the situation of international trade in services and formulate policies on trade in services.This paper uses the quantitative method to measure the extent of China's encounter barriers to trade in services to the rest of the world by using the expanded gravitation model and the adjusted formula for calculating the tariff equivalence of barriers to trade in services.The conclusions are as follows:first,as far as the BRICs countries are concerned,the average level of China's encounter barriers to trade in services is lower than that of Russia,South Africa,India and Brazil,There is no obvious change trend;secondly,the change trend of the degree of barriers to trade in services that China encounters with developed countries is not obvious,and the barriers to trade in services mainly come from Japan,the United States,the United Kingdom,Italy,South Korea and other service trade powers;finally,the degree of barriers to trade in services that China encounters with developing countries has an obvious upward trend,barriers to trade in services mainly come from Poland,Mexico,India,Indonesia,Brazil,Russia and other developing countries with high level of economic development.