长三角区域经济韧性的空间特征及影响因素

The Spatial Characteristics and Influencing Factors of the Regional Economic Resilience in the Yangtze River Delta

以区域就业人口的变化作为测度区域经济韧性的指标,利用Arcgis、Geoda、R等软件,采用空间自相关方法分析长三角区经济韧性的空间特征,并运用空间计量方法分析了长三角区域经济韧性的影响因素.研究发现:在全局自相关检验下,2004、2005、2006、2012、2014年长三角区域经济韧性具有显著的空间相关性,并由lisa集聚图展现了2006、2009、2014、2017年的局域空间自相关的结果;从地区产业结构来看,金融业的发展对区域经济韧性具有显著的负向影响,而批发零售业的繁荣对经济韧性具有显著的正向影响,经济开放程度、地方财政状况和地区经济发展水平都对区域经济韧性有显著的正向影响.

Taking the change of the employed population in the region as an indicator to measure the regional economic resilience,by combined use of the softwares like Arcgis,Geoda,and R,the spatial auto-correlation method was adopted to analyze the spatial characteristics and influencing factors of the economic resilience of the Yangtze River Delta through spatial econometric analysis.The study found that the economic resilience of the Yangtze River Delta region in 2004,2005,2006,2012,and 2014 had significant spatial correlations,and the Lisa clustering map were used to display the spatial auto-correlation results for the years of 2006,2009,2014,and 2017.From the perspective of regional industrial structure,the development of the financial industry has a significantly negative impact while the wholesale and retail industry exert a significantly positive impact on the economic resilience;the degree of economic openness,local fiscal conditions,and regional economic development levels have all played a significantly positive role on regional economic resilience.