城镇住宅投资规模对商品房平均销售价格的影响分析

Analysis on the Influence of the Scale of Urban Residential Investment on the Average Selling Price of Commercial Housing

文章从城市化进程推进背景入手,重点研究我国城镇住宅投资规模和商品房平均销售价格的相互影响效应。采用实证分析的研究方法,本文选取我国2000年至2017年的年度数据并建立两者的线性方程和误差修正模型,得到结论:城镇住宅投资规模对商品房平均销售价格有正向的影响,在长期均衡的角度上看商品房平均销售价格对城镇住宅投资规模的影响更大。建议政府重点监控房地产市场投资,严厉打击投机性投资行为,制定政策规范的投资环境,促进两者协调发展。

Starting from the background of urbanization,this paper focuses on the interaction between the scale of urban residential investment and the average selling price of commercial housing in China.Adopts the research methods of empirical analysis,this article selects the annual data from 2000 to 2017 in China and sets up the linear equation and error correction model,which comes to a conclusion:urban residential investment scale has a positive impact on average selling price of commercial housing.From the perspective of long-term equilibrium,the average selling price of commercial housing has a greater impact on the scale of urban residential investment.It is suggested that the government should focus on monitoring the investment in the real estate market,crack down on speculative investment,formulate policies to standardize the investment environment and promote the coordinated development of the two.