“印日自由走廊”的背景、产生与前景

Asia Africa Growth Corridor:Generation and Prospects

"印日自由走廊"是由印度联合日本共同提出的一个跨区域合作倡议。印日两国之所以联合提出这一走廊计划,是出于多重因素的考虑。从内在动因看,两国主要是为了实现战略对接以及配合美国的印太战略并谋求自身利益的最大化:即提高对国际事务的话语权,为"入常"做准备;谋求资源新渠道,实现双方优势的互补;落实"印太"战略,维护海洋通道安全。从外在动因看,两国意在以联合态势共同制衡中国:联合对冲中国的地区话语权;弱化中国的地区影响力以及抵制中国的地区建制权等。从目前的形势看,印日推动落实这一走廊计划既有一定的基础也面临着多重阻碍。一方面,印日两国不断提升的对全球事务的共同关注力度、两国之间不断增强的经济战略契合度以及非洲地区对印日需求度的持续增加等构成了"印日自由走廊"计划未来进一步落实的有利因素。另一方面,印日两国固有的政治诉求分歧,两国政治原则存在的本质差异,印日两国对自身国际定位的不同认知以及两国核安全立场的分歧和非洲地区多元的备选方案等,都对这一走廊计划的落实形成多重阻碍。无论如何,"印日自由走廊"的提出以及未来可能的落实,对中国经略周边都具有现实的参考意义。"印日自由走廊"未来的落实会对中国以"一带一路"为载体进行周边区域治理以及中—印—日—非间的关系产生不可忽视的影响。

“Asia Africa Growth Corridor”is a trans-oceanic and trans-regional cooperation initiative jointly put forward by India and Japan.India and Japan jointly proposed the corridor plan because of several factors.From the internal reasons,the two countries are mainly to realize the strategic docking and to cooperate with the Indian-Pacific strategy of the United States to maximize their interests:that is,to enhance the right to speak in international affairs,to prepare for the“entry to UNSC”;to seek new channels of resources,to realize the complementary advantages of both sides,etc.From an external point of view,the two countries intend to jointly balance China:jointly hedge China’s regional voice;weaken China’s regional influence;and resist China’s regional establishment.But from the current situation,India and Japan to promote the implementation of this corridor plan have both a favorable basis and multiple obstacles.On the one hand,the increasing mutual concern on global affairs between India and Japan,the increasing economic strategic fit between the two countries and the increasing demand for India and Japan in Africa constitute the favorable factors for the further implementation of the“Asia Africa Growth Corridor”plan;on the other hand,the inherent political differences between the two countries;The essential differences in political principles between the two countries,the different perceptions of their international positioning,the differences in nuclear security positions and the diverse options in Africa constitute multiple obstacles to the implementation of the corridor plan.However,the proposal of the“India-Japan Free Corridor”and the possible implementation of the plan are of realistic reference significance to the periphery of China’s economic strategy.