实体经济与要素投入协同发展的时空差异及效应研究——高质量发展视角

Spatial-temporal Differences and Effects of Coordinated Development of Real Economy and Factor Input——From the Perspective of High Quality Development

基于2001-2016年省级面板数据,对我国实体经济与各要素投入协同度进行系统测算,并对其协同发展水平时空差异及经济效应进行实证分析。结果发现:①我国实体经济与三大要素协同度均呈波动上升态势,其中,实体经济与人力资源要素协同度均值最高,实体经济与现代金融要素协同度均值次之,实体经济与科技创新协同度均值最低,且均表现为东部地区协同度最高,中部次之,西部最低;②实体经济与各要素投入协同度重心向西南方向移动,中西部地区正成为新时期现代化经济体系建设的重要支撑区域;③实体经济与科技创新要素协同发展的区域相对差异呈扩大趋势,实体经济与现代金融、人力资源协同度的区域相对差异呈缩小趋势,但东-西部地区间差异均最大,其中超变密度差距是区域间差距的主要来源;④从全国层面看,实体经济与三大要素投入协同发展有利于提高全要素生产率,产生了显著高质量发展效应,但这种效应在不同地区表现出一定的异质性。

Based on the provincial panel data from 2001 to 2016,this paper constructs a coordinated index system for the real economy and the input of technological innovation,modern finance and human resources,and systematically measures the coordination degree between the real economy and the input factors.This paper makes an empirical analysis of the spatial and temporal differences and economic effect of its cooperative development level.The study indicates that:①the degree of coordination between China's real economy and the three major factors is volatility,with the highest degree of coordination between the real economy and human resources,the second highest degree of coordination between the real economy and modern financial factors,and the lowest between the real economy and technological innovation.All of them showed the highest degree of coordination in the eastern region,followed by the central region and the lowest in the western region;②the center of gravity of the coordination degree between the real economy and the input of various factors moves southwest,and the central and western regions are becoming an important supporting area for the construction of modern economic system in the new period;③the regional relative differences in the coordinated development of the real economy and technological innovation factors are expanding.The relative regional differences in the degree of coordination between the real economy and modern finance,the real economy and human resources are shrinking.But the differences between the eastern and western regions are the largest,the hyper-density gap is the main source of inter-regional difference;④at the national level,the coordinated development of the real economy and the input of the three major factors is conducive to the improvement of total factor productivity,resulting in a significant high-quality development effect,but this effect shows some heterogeneity in different regions.