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马氏调节风险模型下的有限时间破产问题

Some Finite Time Ruin Problems in Markov-Modulated Risk Model
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摘要 本文主要研究马氏调节模型中有限时间内的破产变量的分布,给出了有限时间内索赔次数的分布律、总索赔金额的分布函数,且采用了离散近似的方法,显示近似方法的结果与精确的概率密度函数非常接近.此外,使用分解概率密度函数的方法,求出破产时间和破产时赤字的联合分布的具体表达式. This paper studies the distribution of finite-time ruin quantities.It gives the probability mass function of finite time number of claims,and find the distribution function of aggregate claims by using discretise method and compared with exact distribution function,which shows that the approximation works very well.In addition,by applying decomposition for density function,it gives the explicit expression for joint density of ruin time and deficit at ruin.
作者 李婧超 苏必豪 LI Jingchao;SU Bihao(College of Mathematics and Statistics,Shenzhen University,Guangdong,518000,China)
出处 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2020年第2期197-209,共13页 Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(批准号:11601344)资助.
关键词 马氏调节风险模型 索赔数分布 总索赔额分布 联合分布 Markov-Modulated risk model distribution of number of claims distribution of aggregate claim amount joint density
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  • 1Yang, H., Non-exponential bounds for ruin probability with interest effect included, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 1(1999), 66-79.
  • 2Cai, J., Ruin probabilities with dependent rate of interest, Journal of Applied Probability, 39(2002), 312-323.
  • 3Yang, H. and Zhang, L., Ruin problems for a discrete time risk model with random interest rate, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 63(2006), 287-299.
  • 4Wei, X. and Hu, Y., Ruin probabilities for discrete time risk models with stochastic rates of interest, Statistics & Probability Letters, 78(2008), 707-715.
  • 5Diasparra, M.A. and Romera, R., Bounds for the ruin probability of a discrete-time risk process, Journal of Applied Probability, 46(2009), 99-112.

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