网约车出行需求预测方法

Travel demand forecast methods for Internet private hire vehicles

随着互联网出行方式的迅速变化,城市居民快速增长的网约车(Internet private hire vehicle,IPHV)出行需求与服务车辆资源之间的供需矛盾日渐突出.针对网约车出行需求预测基础理论的研究,对国内外大量文献进行了梳理和分析.首先分析了网约车用户出行影响因素;然后从时间维度和事件维度详细综述了网约车出行需求预测的内容、方法和关键技术,对比了各类预测方法的优缺点;最后,总结了既有研究存在的主要问题,并进一步提出了未来的研究方向.

With the development of Internet travel mode,the contradiction between the demand of taxi service and the supply of vehicle resources is increasingly prominent.In view of the basic theoretical research on travel demand forecast for Internet private hire vehicles(IPHVs),a large number of domestic and foreign research literature are summarized and analyzed.Firstly,this paper analyzes the travel behavior characteristics of IPHV users,and then summarizes the contents,methods and key technologies of IPHV demand forecast from time dimension and event dimension.Finally,main problems in the study of IPHV demand forecast are discussed,and potential research topics in the future are suggested.