入境旅游流与世界遗产依附地协调发展的时空特征及影响因素

The spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of coordinated development of inbound tourism flow and world heritage dependent sites

以中国88个世界遗产依附地为研究对象,构建入境旅游流与世界遗产依附地协调发展评价指标体系,借助耦合协调模型、广义矩估计等方法对2000—2017年两个系统耦合协调发展的时空特征及影响因素进行分析。结果表明:我国已形成“入境旅游流-世界遗产依附地”复合系统;两个系统综合发展水平均呈现波动上升态势,具有间断性涨落更迭的波动发展规律;两个系统耦合协调度水平整体较低且波幅较小,呈现“大分散、小集聚”的空间格局;两者协调发展是多维因素共同作用的结果,其中入境旅游外汇收入是核心驱动力,旅游从业人员是双重驱动力,社会消费品销售额是向导功能,绿化覆盖率是非必要条件,公共图书馆图书总藏量是潜在因子,客运总量是非敏感因子。

Based on the research sites of 88 world heritage dependent sites in China,an evaluation system for the coordinated development of inbound tourism flows and World Heritage sites was constructed,and the spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of the two systems from 2000 to 2017 were analyzed by using the coupling coordination model and generalized moment estimation methods.The results show that it has formed a complex system of“inbound tourism flow-world heritage dependent site”in China.The comprehensive development level of the two systems shows a trend of increasing fluctuation,with intermittent fluctuation law.The coupling coordination level of the two systems is generally low and the amplitude is small,presenting a spatial pattern of“large dispersion and small agglomeration”.Coordinated development of the two systems is the result of multi-dimensional factors.Among which,foreign exchange income of inbound tourism is the core power,tourism workers is the dual driving force,sales of social consumer goods is the guiding function,green coverage is not necessary,total storage of public library books is the potential factor,and total passenger volume is the non-sensitive factor.