基于非线性SEM的武器装备体系作战能力关联关系判定方法研究

Research on Judging Method of Combat Capability Relationship of Weapon SoS Based on Nonlinear SEM

武器装备体系内部构成种类繁多,主体间关联关系复杂多样且具有一定非线性特征,能否有效判定能力主体间相互关系将直接影响到后期仿真评估实验结果的准确性。针对这一问题,提出了基于非线性SEM的作战能力关联关系求解方法。该方法考虑主体间协同交互和二次效应作用,建立非线性的SEM模型,同时引入协方差阵进行极大似然估计的方法求解作战能力主体间关联关系,并以战术信息分发能力为例,验证了该方法的有效性。最后,通过对比线性与非线性SEM能力评估结果,说明体系非线性特征一定程度表征出了体系作战能力的整体涌现性。

There are many kinds of internal components of weapon equipment system,and the relationships between agents are complex and diverse,and they have certain non-linear characteristics.Whether the relationship between agents can be effectively judged will directly affect the accuracy of the results of simulation evaluation.In order to solve this problem,and a solution method of combat capability correlation based on non-linear SEM was proposed.Considering the cooperative interaction and quadratic effect between agents,this method established a non-linear SEM model,and introduced the maximum likelihood estimation method based on covariance matrix to solve the relationship between agents of combat capability.Taking the tactical information distribution capability as an example,the effectiveness of this method was verified.By comparing the evaluation results of linear and non-linear SEM capabilities,it is shown that the non-linear characteristics of the system to a certain extent characterize the overall emergence of the combat capabilities of the system.